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History and Development of Bank Instruments |
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Picture the world at war in 1944. All of Europe, except for Switzerland,
is pounding its infrastructure, manufacturing base and population into rubble
and death. Asia is locked into a monumental straggle which is destroying
Japan, China, and the Pacific Rim countries. North Africa, the Baltic's,
and the Mediterranean countries are clutched in a life and death
struggle in the fight to throw off the yoke of occupation. A world gone
mad! Economic destruction, mad, human misery and dislocation exists on a
scale never before experienced in human history. What went wrong? How
could the world rebuild and recover from such devastation? How could
another war be avoided?
Keynes, Harry White and Bretton Woods
This was the world as it existed in July 1944 when a relatively small
group of 130 of the western worlds most accomplished economic, social
and political minds met in upstate New Hampshire at a small vacation
town called Bretton Woods. John Maynard Keynes, the man who had
predicted the current catastrophe in his book, The Economic Consequences
of the Peace, written in 1920, was about to become the principal
architect of the post-World War II reconstruction Keynes presented a
rather radical plan to rebuild the worlds economy, and hopefully avoid a
third world war. This time the world listened, for Keynes and his
supporters were the only ones who had a plan that in any way seemed
grand enough in foresight and scope to have a chance at being
successful. Yet Keynes had to fight hard to convince those rooted in
conventional economic theories and partisan political doctrines to adopt
his proposals. In the end, Keynes was able to sell about two-thirds of
his proposals through sheer force of will and the support of the United
States Secretary of the Treasury, Harry Dexter White.
At the hart of Keynes proposals were two basic principals: first the
Allies must rebuild the Axis Countries, not exploit them as had been
done after WW 1; second, a new international monetary system must be
established, headed by a strong international banking system and a
common world currency not tied to a gold standard.
Keynes went on to reason that Europe and Asia were in complete economic
devastation with their means of production seriously crippled, their
trade economies destroyed and their treasuries in deep dept. If the
world economy was to emerge from its current state, it obviously needed
to expand. This expansion would be limited if paper currency were still
anchored to gold.
The United States, Canada, Switzerland and Australia were the only
industrialized western countries to have their economies, banking
systems and treasuries intact and fully operational. The enormous issue
at the Bretton Woods Convention in 1944 was how to completely rebuild
the European and Asian economies on a sufficiently solid basis to foster
the establishment of stable, prosperous pro-democratic governments.
At the time, the majority of the world's gold supply, hence its wealth,
was concentrated in the hands of the United States, Switzerland and
Canada. A system had to be established to democratize trade and wealth;
and redistribute, or recycle, currency from strong trade surplus
countries back into countries with weak or negative trade surpluses.
Otherwise, the majority of the world's wealth would remain concentrated
in the hands of a few nations while the rest of the world would remain
in poverty.
Keynes and White proposed that the United States supported by Canada and
Switzerland would become the banker to the world, and the U.S. Dollar
would replace the pound sterling as the the medium of international
trade. He also suggested that the dollar's value be tied to the good
faith and credit of the U.S. Government not to gold or silver, as had
traditionally been the support for a nation's currency.
Keynes concept of how to accomplish all of this was radical for its
time, but was based upon the centuries old framework of import/export
finance. This form of finance was used to support certain sectors of
international commerce which did not use gold as collateral, but rather
their own good faith and credit, backed by letters of credit, avals, or
guarantees.
Keynes reasoned that even if his plans to rebuild the world's economy
were adopted at the Bretton Woods Convention, remaining on a Gold
standard would seriously restrict the flexibility of governments to
increase the money supply. The rate of increase of currency would not be
sufficient to insure the continued successful expansion of international
commerce over the long term. This condition could lead to a severe
economic crisis, which, in turn, could even lead to another world war.
However, the economic ministers and politicians present at the
convention feared loss of control over their own national economies, as
well as, run-away inflation, unless a "hard-currency" standard were
adopted.
The Convention accepted Keynes' basic economic plan, but opted for a
gold-backed currency as a standard of exchange. The "official"
price of
gold was set at its pre-WW II level of $ 35.00 per ounce One U.S. Dollar
would purchase 1/35 an ounce of gold. The U.S. dollar would become the
standard world currency, and the value of all other currencies in the
western. non-communist world would be tied to the U.S. dollar as the
medium of exchange.
Marshall plan - lMF - World Bank and Bank of International Settlements
The Bretton Woods Convention produced the Marshall Plan, the Bank for
Reconstruction and development known as the World Bank. the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank of International
Settlements (BIS). These four would re-establish and revitalize the
economies of the western nations. The World Bank would borrow from rich
nations and lend to poorer nations. The IMF working closely with the
World Bank, with a pool of funds, controlled by a board of governors.
would initiate currency adjustments and maintain the exchange rates
among national currencies within defined limits. The Bank of
International Settlements would then function as a "central bank" to the
world.
The International Monetary Fund was to be a lender to the central bank
of countries which were experiencing a deficit in the balance of
payments. By lending money to that country's central bank, the
IMF
provided currency, allowing the underdeveloped country to continue in
business. building up is export base until it achieved a positive
balance of payments. Then, that nation's central bank could repay the
money borrowed from the lMF, with a small amount of interest and
continue on its own as an economically viable nation. If the country
experienced an economic contraction, the IMF would be standing ready to
make another loan to carry it through.
Bank of International Settlements
The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) was created as a new central
bank to the central banks of each nation. It was organized along the
lines of the U.S. Federal Reserve System and it's principally
responsible for the orderly settlement of transactions among the central
banks of individual countries. In addition, it sets standards for
capital adequacy among the central banks and coordinates the orderly
distribution of a sufficient supply of currency in circulation necessary
to support international trade and commerce.
The Bank of International Settlements is controlled by the
Basel
Committee which is comprised of ministers sent from each of the G-10
nations central banks. It has been traditional for the individual
ministers appointed to the Basel Committee to be the equivalent of the
New York "Fed's" chairperson controlling the open market desk.
The World Bank, organized along more traditional commercial banking
lines was formed to be lender to the world" initially to rebuild the
infrastructure, manufacturing and service sectors of the
European and Asian Economies, and ultimately to support the development
of Third World nations and their economies. The depositors to the World
Bank are nations rather than individuals. However, the Bank's economic
"ripple system" uses the same general banking principles that have
proven effective over centuries.
The tie that binds: The Bank of International Settlements and the World
Bank
The directors of both banks are controlled by the ministers from each of
the G-10 countries: Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the
Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Luxembourg.
By 1961, the plans adopted at the Bretton Woods convention of 1947 were
succeeding beyond anyone's expectation. Proving that Keynes was right.
Unfortunately, Keynes was also right in his prediction of a world
monetary crisis. It was brought on by a lack of sufficient currency
(U.S. dollars) in world circulation to support rapidly expanding
international commerce. The solution to this crisis lay in the hands of
the Kennedy Administration, the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank and the Bank
of International Settlements. The world needed more U.S. Dollars to
facilitate trade. The U.S. was faced with a dwindling gold supply to
back such additional dollars. Printing more dollars would violate the
gold standard established by the Bretton Woods agreements. To break the
treaty would potentially destroy the stable core at the center of the
worlds economy, leading to international discord, trade wars, lack of
trust and possibly to outright war. The crises was further aggravated by
the belief that the majority of the dollars then in circulation was not
concentrated in the coffers of sovereign governments, but rather in the
vaults or treasuries of private banks, multinational corporations,
private businesses and individual personal bank accounts. A mere
agreement or directive issued by governments among themselves would not
prevent the looming crisis. Some mechanism was needed to encourage the
private sector to willingly exchange their U.S. Dollar currency holdings
for some other form of money.
The problem was solved by using the framework of a forfeit finance; a
method used to underwrite certain import/export transactions which
relies upon the guarantee or aval (a form of guarantee under Napoleonic
law) issued by a major bank in the form of either documentary or standby
letters of credit or bills of exchange which are then used to assure an
exporter of future payment for the goods or services provided to an
importer. The system was well established and understood by private
banks, government and the business community world wide. The documents
used in such financing were standardized and controlled by international
accord, administered by the members of the International Chamber of
Commerce (ICC) headquartered in Paris. There would be no need to create
another world agency to monitor the system if already approved and
readily available documentation, laws and procedure provided by the ICC
were adopted. The International Chamber of Commerce is a private,
non-governmental, worldwide organization, that has evolved over time
into a well recognized organized, respected and, most of all, trusted
association. Its members include the worlds major banks, importers,
exporters, merchants, and retailers who subscribe to well-defined
conventions, bylaws, and codes of conduct over time, the ICC has
hammered out pre-approved documentation and procedures to promote and
settle international commercial transactions.
In the ICC and forfeit systems lay the seeds of a resolution to the
looming crisis. Recycling the current number of dollars back into world
commerce would solve the problem by avoiding the printing of more U.S.
dollars and would leave the Bretton Woods Agreement intact. If currency,
dollars, could be drawn back into circulation through the private
international banking system and redistributed through the well known
"bank ripple effect", no new dollars would need to be printed, and the
world would have an adequate currency supply. The private international
banking system required an investment vehicle which could be used to
access dollar accounts, thereby recycling substantial dollar deposits.
This vehicle would have to be viewed by the private market to be so
secure and safe that it would be comparable with U.S. Treasuries which
had a reputation for instant liquidity and safety. Given the "newness"
of whatever instrument might be created, the private sector would prefer
to exchange their dollars for a "proven" instrument (United States
Treasuries) but selling new Treasury issues would not solve the problem.
In fact, it would exacerbate the looming crisis by taking more dollars
out of circulation. The World needed more dollars in circulation.
The answer was to encourage the most respected and creditworthy of the
world's private banks to issue a financial instrument guaranteed by the
full faith and credit of the issuing bank, with the support from the
central banks, lMF and Bank of International Settlements. The worlds
private investment and business sector would view new investments issued
in this manner as "safe". To encourage their purchase over Treasuries,
the investor yield on the new issues would have to be superior to the
yield on Treasuries. If the instruments could be viewed as both safe and
providing superior yields over Treasuries, the private sector would
purchase these instruments without hesitation.
The crisis was prevented by encouraging the international private
banking sector to issue letters of credit and bank guarantees, in large
denominations, at yields superior to U.S. Treasuries. To offset the
increased "cows" to the issuing banks, due to the higher yields
accompanying these bank instruments, banking regulations within the
countries involved were modified in such a way as to encourage and or
allow the following:
The bank instruments offered to investors were sold in large
denominations often $100 million through a well established and very
efficient market mechanism, substantially reducing the cost of accessing
the funds, The reduced costs offset the higher yields paid by the
issuing banks.
Major commercial banks soon came to realize that these instruments could
serve as more than a "funds recycling and redistribution tool", as
originally envisioned. For the issuing bank, they could provide a the
means of resolving two of the bankers major problems: interest rate
risks over the term of the loan, and disintegration of depositor
funds. Bankers, now for the first time, had available a reliable method
of accessing large amounts of money in a very cost efficient manner.
These funds could be held as deposits at a predetermined cost over a
specific period of time. This new system to promote currency
redistribution had also given private banks a way to pass on to third
parties the interest rate and disintegration risks formerly borne by
the bank.
The use of these instruments providing instant liquidity and safety has
worked amazingly well since 1961. It is one of the principal factors
which has served to prevent another financial crisis in the world
economies.
In recent years, smaller banks not ranked among the top 100 have been
issuing their own instruments. Considering the dollars volume and the
number of instruments issued daily, the system has worked extremely
well. There have been few instances where a major bank has had financial
problem. In all cases, the central bank of the G-10 country concerned
and the Bank of International Settlements have moved quickly to
financially stabilize the bank, insuring its ability to honor its
commitments. Funds invested in these instruments rank para passu with
depositors accounts, and as such, their integrity and protection is
considered by all the institutions involved as fundamental to a sound
international banking system.
The bank instruments program designed under the Kennedy Administration
is still used very effectively to assist in recycling and redistributing
currency to meet the worlds demand for commerce.
Another significant change of the Bretton Woods Agreement
came in 1971,
when the volume of world trade using U.S. dollars as the medium of
exchange,. finally exceeded the ability of the United States to support
its currency with gold. The restraints of the gold standard at $35 per
ounce established under the Bretton Woods Agreements placed the United
States in a very precarious position. As Keynes had predicted, there was
not enough gold in the U.S. Treasury to back the actual number of U.S.
dollars then in circulation. In fact, the treasury was not really sure
how many paper dollars actually were in circulation. What they did how,
however, was that there was not enough gold in Fort Knox to back them.
The problem was that the U.S. Treasury was not the only institution
aware of this fact. All G-10 countries were aware of this. If demand
were placed upon the U.S. Treasury at any one time to exchange all the
Eurodollars for gold, the U S. Treasury would have had to default,
thereby effectively bankrupting the United States government.
France, the United Kingdom, Germany and Japan were concerned about their
substantial holdings in U.S. dollars. If just one of these countries
demanded gold for dollars. Then a meeting between ambassadors to the U.S
took place with Connelly ,who was then Secretary of the U.S. Treasury,
and Undersecretary of the Treasury, Paul Volker. Connelly listened to
the ambassador and said, " I will answer you tomorrow".
Nixon, Connolly and Volker, in an ultra-secret weekend meeting with the
brightest of the nation's bankers and economists gathered to ponder
"tomorrow's" answer. Honoring the demand meant certain death to the U.S.
as an economic super power. Not meeting the demand would have
catastrophic results. Was there a way out? What if the U.S. unilaterally
abandoned the gold standard and let its currency float in the market?
Nixon and his advisors viewed the dilemma in terms of two
mutually-exclusive alternatives: increasing the value of U.S. gold
reserves and maintaining a gold-backed economy, or considering the
repercussions to the worlds economies if the U.S. dollar were no longer
backed by gold.
To resolve the crisis, the U.S. needed to unilaterally abandon efforts
to maintain the official price of gold at an artificial level of $35 per
ounce the same price that existed in 1933. Gold in 1971 had a market
value of approximately $350 to $400 per ounce in the commercial world
market, or about 10 times the official price. By letting gold seek its
market price, the U.S. Treasury's gold would automatically become worth
approximately 10 times its value at the official price. Under these
circumstances, any government bank or private investor would have to
exchange $350 to $400 U.S. dollars for an ounce of gold at the market
price rather than one U.S. dollar to acquire 1/35th of an ounce of gold
at the old official price. An ounce of gold would rise in exchange value
by a factor of ten, and the U.S. Treasury's gold supply would increase
correspondingly.
In addition, once the gold standard established at Bretton Woods at $35
per ounce was abandoned, why reestablish it at $350 an ounce? The same
problem would eventually arise again, and Keynes would be right again.
Why not adopt Keynes' original idea of a currency, being backed by the
good faith and credit of its government, its people, the national
resources and its production capacity? The United States needed to let
its currency "float" in value against all other world currencies and not
tie it to gold. Market forces would set the dollar's value through its
exchange rate with other foreign currencies. Nixon and his advisors also
realized that business world-wide had long ceased conducting
international trade through gold and silver exchanges. Therefore, taking
the dollar off the gold standard and allowing its value to float in
relation to other world currencies would create currency risks for
international trade transactions, but it would not preclude or stall
international commerce. The world of international business had, in
practice, already abandoned the gold standard years before, considering
it cumbersome and unworkable. Moreover, the other Western nations had
neither the economic nor military power to force the U.S. to honor its
commitment to the gold standard and, therefore, could not prevent it
from abandoning the standard.
Based upon a clear understanding of these two interrelated realities.
Nixon and his advisors determined to abandon the gold standard and allow
the U.S. dollar to "float" in relation to other nations' currency. The
exchange rate would no longer be determined by an
artificially-maintained gold standard, but rather by the value placed on
each currency in the foreign exchange market
The system for controlling currency supply, established by the Kennedy
Administration, became an indispensable tool to the Nixon
administration. The IMF and the Bank of International Settlements
insured that the U.S. dollar would hold its value in the international
market and was recycled from countries with a positive balance of
payments back into the world economy. The illusion of U.S. dollar backed
by gold was gone.
The preceding information explains the use of bank instruments as an
alternative investment vehicle to United States government notes, and
how and why the process of issuing bank instruments used in trading
programs began and continues today |
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